The New York Times is reporting on superstitions in China, currently centered around whether the Chengdu earthquake could have been predicted.
Bloggers are now reporting it was obvious something huge was about to hit in the days leading up to the earthquake. A flood of omens presented themselves –
ponds inexplicably drained, cows flung themselves against their enclosures and swarms of toads invaded the streets of a town that was later decimated by the quake.
When a reporter asked about earthquake predictions in a live press conference shown on State TV (a rare thing around here), the conference was mysteriously interrupted for some stock quake footage, returning minutes later when the subject had been changed.
Predicting earthquakes is not a Government-approved topic.
This kind of thing is a nice example of how unsubtle the Government’s propaganda and censorship machine is in China. I may have mentioned this before, but our BBC World and CNN feeds come through a central box manned by the Chinese Government, who flip a switch when a story they don’t like is introduced. Of course, they don’t know it’s coming and they’re always a little late with the button, so usually we get something like “In Tibet today, further riots broke out among…” before the screen goes black. When it comes back, it is time for the weather.
This heavy-handed control of information extends everywhere. There is a Government-sponsored exhibition in town at the moment covering how much better-off Tibet is since China arrived in 1951 (as an aside, it took me three Googles to get that date – Wikipedia and something called www.friends-of-tibet.org.nz are both blocked). According to this exhibition, Tibet was once a land of lawless atrocities and barbarism, where the torture of children and eating the young was the order of the day. Now there are schools, libraries and general pleasantness.
Now, I suspect your average Tibetan (without ever having met one, by the way) would agree that some aspects of the Tibetan way of life have improved markedly since 1950. As would, I might say, your average Chinese, who also experienced the Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Revolution in the meantime. But it’s not the point – Tibetans don’t seem to want these improvements imposed on them by China, probably as these improvements also include limited cultural and religious freedoms.
That argument aside, I can’t work out who the exhibition with the tank-like subtlety is aimed at. Does the Government believe this will change the mind of the Tibetan supporters? Or is the exhibition supposed to reinforce the Government’s position to the believers?
If it’s the latter, then it is probably successful – there is little public questioning of the party line in China (though I’ve heard a lot of bitching goes on around the baijiu) . However, I suspect it’s the former. And it won’t convince anyone. I really think they don’t get how Westerners with a free media thinks about this sort of stuff.
PS – The local bloggers don’t get away with wandering off from the Government-approved line either. After the quake press conference,
officials announced the arrest of four people for spreading quake-related rumors on the Web and said they would be punished, although the officials did not describe the punishment or nature of the rumors.